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Will Ukraine agree to give up its NATO membership bid before 2027?

50%

chance YES live

YES
50¢
NO
50¢

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Dec 31

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Will Ukraine agree to give up its NATO membership bid before 2027?
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Will Ukraine officially give up its bid to join NATO before the end of 2026? The market resolves Yes if Ukraine's government formally abandons or withdraws its NATO membership bid by December 31, 2026; otherwise, it resolves No.
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