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Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace deal this year?

50%

chance YES live

YES
50¢
NO
50¢

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Dec 31

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Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace deal this year?
Yes
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Will the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before the end of 2026? The market resolves Yes if both sides officially agree to a permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026; otherwise, it resolves No.
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