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Will China impose a blockade around Taiwan before 2027?
50%
chance YES live
YES
50¢
NO
50¢
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Dec 31
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Will China impose a blockade around Taiwan before 2027?
Yes
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Will China impose a military or maritime blockade around Taiwan before the end of 2026? The market resolves Yes if China officially imposes a blockade that restricts or significantly disrupts access to Taiwan; otherwise, it resolves No.
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