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Will 2026 become the hottest year ever recorded?

50%

chance YES live

YES
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NO
50¢

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Jan 15

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Will 2026 become the hottest year ever recorded?
Yes
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Will 2026 finish as the hottest calendar year in global temperature records? The market resolves Yes if the recognized global temperature datasets rank 2026 as the warmest year on record; otherwise, it resolves No.
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